Former Senator Bob Dole died this week at age 98. Journalists, fellow politicians and public leaders have lauded the Kansas-born public figure as someone who spent almost all of his working life in service to his state and country. A review of Gallup polling throughout Dole’s long career shows the […] Read more »
Mixed Patterns in Job Approval for Defeated Incumbents
Unofficial vote counts indicate Donald Trump has become the fourth U.S. incumbent president defeated for reelection in the Gallup polling era. Gallup will release its first postelection approval rating on Trump in the coming days. His final preelection approval rating was 46%, which ranks as the highest for a defeated […] Read more »
Is there a peanut farmer from Plains in the field of 2020 Democrats?
The signs are everywhere that the 2020 Democratic presidential field will be much larger than usual — maybe larger than ever. … The volume and intensity of their early posturing speaks to the extraordinary energy of the party’s grass roots and a widespread belief among Democrats that President Donald Trump […] Read more »
Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and the Polls
You have to go back 40 years to find a presidential candidate saying something quite as loony about Russia as the many things Donald Trump said in his press conference Wednesday. … But what about today? If Mr. Trump’s advisers wanted to find some solace in the polls, could they? […] Read more »
Sanders’s Practically Unprecedented Success
By steadily increasing his support in national polls to the point where it now essentially equals Hillary Clinton’s, Bernie Sanders has crossed a threshold that few other challengers to a heavily favored front-runner have ever reached. But those gains still leave him facing a steep uphill climb to overcome her […] Read more »
Can Anyone Beat Trump in the Primary? History Says No
Let’s say you’re a Republican who is looking with abject terror at the thought of a Donald Trump nomination. You look at poll numbers from upcoming states—Trump by six! Trump by eight! You read and hear about “vectors” and “glide paths”, and you start looking for reassurance that it’s still […] Read more »