Trump Doubles Lead Over DeSantis In 2024 GOP Primary Race; 65% Of Voters Think Biden Is Too Old For Second Term

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As the field of Republican presidential contenders in the 2024 primary race develops, former President Donald Trump remains at the top of the list of declared or potential candidates with 56 percent support among Republican and Republican leaning voters, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis with 25 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. …

In a hypothetical general election matchup for president, the race is neck and neck, with President Joe Biden receiving 48 percent and Trump receiving 46 percent among all registered voters. … When Biden is matched up against DeSantis, the race is also very close, with DeSantis receiving 47 percent and Biden receiving 46 percent among all registered voters. …

Registered voters 65 – 32 percent think that Joe Biden is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president. … Registered voters 59 – 36 percent think that Donald Trump is not too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president. …

Americans give the Supreme Court a negative 35 – 55 percent job approval rating. Registered voters give the Supreme Court a negative 35 – 57 percent job approval rating. This is the highest disapproval rating that the Supreme Court has received among registered voters since Quinnipiac University began asking the question in 2004. CONTINUED

Quinnipiac University Poll

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Clean Debt Deal Preferred by 2:1

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Half of Americans say the debt ceiling issue should be dealt with cleanly, while just 1 in 4 want to tie it to federal spending negotiations, according to the Monmouth University Poll. A plurality agrees with predictions that the country will suffer significant economic problems if the debt ceiling is not raised – a view that increases to a clear majority among those who have been paying a lot of attention to the issue. The public holds generally negative views of how President Joe Biden and both the Democrats and Republicans in Congress have handled the debt limit issue. For Biden, this rating is slightly worse than his overall job score. CONTINUED

Monmouth University Polling Institute

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CNN Poll: Trump leads 2024 GOP primary field, but many voters are open to supporting other candidates

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Donald Trump has consolidated the support of slightly above half of his party at this early stage of the race for the Republican nomination, a newly released CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds, highlighting the former president’s potential path to a third nomination – and the challenges his rivals will face over the next months in establishing their own bases of support. …

Trump is the first choice of 53% Republican and Republican-leaning voters in the primary, roughly doubling DeSantis’ 26%. But the survey also finds that wide swaths of Republican-aligned voters are willing to consider either of the two, as well as several other candidates. CONTINUED

Ariel Edwards-Levy, CNN

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National survey finds continuing decline in approval of the way the U.S. Supreme Court is doing its job

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A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that 41% of adults approve of the way the U.S. Supreme Court is doing its job, while 59% disapprove. This is a 6-percentage-point decline from January when 47% approved and 53% disapproved.

The trend in approval since 2020 is shown in Table 1. Approval has oscillated since 2020 but, in each cycle, has reached a lower peak than the previous cycle, before again turning down. The peak in September 2020 was 66%, followed by peaks of 54% in November 2021 and March 2022, with the most recent peak of 47% in January 2023. …

Favorable ratings of most of the justices declined slightly from March to May, with similarly small increases in unfavorable ratings. CONTINUED

Charles Franklin, Marquette Law School Poll

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Where voters stand on Biden and Trump’s mental fitness as the 2024 race takes off

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As the field of candidates running for president grows, more Americans are concerned about the mental fitness of the two leading candidates than not, a new PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll finds. A month into Joe Biden’s reelection campaign, 62 percent of Americans say that the question of his mental fitness is a real concern about his ability to be president. That’s 11 points higher than for the leading Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, whose mental fitness is a concern for 51 percent. …

Fifty-two percent of Americans say Congress should raise the debt ceiling first to avoid a debt default and then discuss spending cuts separately, including 75 percent of Democrats, 30 percent of Republicans and 44 percent of independents. But 42 percent of Americans believe Congress should only increase the debt ceiling if it makes significant spending cuts at the same time, even if the U.S. defaults on its debt. That includes 21 percent of Democrats, 65 percent of Republicans and 48 percent of independents. CONTINUED

Matt Loffman, PBS NewsHour

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DeSantis camp puts cart before horse race

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The cornerstone of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s campaign for the Republican presidential nomination is clearly going to be that he is more electable than former President Trump. DeSantis’s own statements push that narrative. And conveniently—but likely not coincidentally—as DeSantis prepares his official announcement, several polls have come out that show him beating or tying Trump in early-primary states, and beating President Biden in general election swing states.

The polls all come from a couple of GOP pollsters, who notably don’t often release public polls, as they are more known for their campaign work….

In general, when we see private campaign pollsters releasing results publicly, they have a good reason. Sometimes it’s to juice fundraising; sometimes to shift or create momentum for their candidate. But pollsters who typically do private work for candidates or PACs don’t just suddenly decide to release numbers for the good of society. CONTINUED

Natalie Jackson, National Journal

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