Trump indictment: Most Republicans think charges are politically motivated

A vast majority of Republicans believe federal criminal charges against Donald Trump are politically motivated, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday that also showed him far ahead of his nearest rival in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

The polling, which began on Friday, a day after Trump was indicted, found that 81% of self-identified Republicans said politics was driving the case, reflecting the deep polarization of the U.S. electorate. CONTINUED

Jason Lange, Reuters


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Biden edges Trump and DeSantis in poll, but voters are looking around

President Joe Biden holds single-digit edges over both former President Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis in the 2024 presidential race, a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll finds, but nearly 1 in 4 voters say they would support a third-party candidate if the election was held today.

In a potential rematch of the 2020 contest, Biden is backed by 34% and Trump by 32%; 23% say they would support an unspecified independent contender. In a choice between Biden and DeSantis, Biden leads the Florida governor by 33%-26%; 25% indicate they would vote for a third-party candidate. CONTINUED

Susan Page, USA Today


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Trump holds double-digit lead after federal indictment – Reuters/Ipsos poll

The federal criminal charges against Donald Trump have done little to change Americans’ views of the former president, based on a new Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday that shows him maintaining a commanding lead in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

The polling, which began on Friday, a day after Trump announced he had been indicted, found that 62% of respondents, including 91% of Democrats and 35% of Republicans, said it was believable that Trump illegally stored classified documents at his home in Florida. But 81% of Republicans said the charges against him were politically motivated. CONTINUED

Jason Lange, Reuters


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Most Americans view latest Trump charges as serious

In the days immediately following a federal indictment against Donald Trump related to his handling of classified documents, a new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds that three in five Americans view these charges as serious. This represents a shift from the perceived level of severity in April, where about half viewed Trump’s indictment in New York as serious. This is due to shifting opinions from Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike – though the biggest movement has been among Republicans.

The public remains more split on whether Trump should suspend his presidential campaign and if he should be charged with a crime. Though, on both items, more believe he should suspend his presidential campaign and be charged than think he should not. At the same, more also believe these charges are politically motivated than not. On these measures, views remain unchanged from April’s indictment on charges related to hush money payments. CONTINUED

Mallory Newall, Sarah Feldman & Ryan Tully, Ipsos


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

After Trump indictment, most see security risk, but Republicans see politics

Republican primary voters say they’re far more concerned that Donald Trump’s indictment is politically motivated than his alleged conduct being a national security risk – and there’s no evidence it’s hurt his status as the clear front-runner for the 2024 nomination, at least not yet. He remains well ahead of rivals in both consideration and vote choice.

In fact, most Republican primary voters would not generally consider him keeping the alleged documents with nuclear systems or military plans to be a national security risk, in and of itself. …

Trump is up nearly three to one in vote preference over Ron DeSantis, his next closest competitor, whose official entry into the race hasn’t changed his standing relative to Trump. The rest of the field is currently seeing support rates in the single digits. CONTINUED

CBS News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

The indictment, the primaries, and 2024

Donald Trump added to his long list of firsts Thursday, becoming the first former president to face federal criminal charges, relating to his alleged unlawful possession of classified documents.

With the GOP primaries heating up and more challengers jumping in the race, we will see how this new indictment plays with the base. After facing a criminal indictment in March, Trump only seemed to fare better among the field of GOP hopefuls. In our age of two Americas, where each side unwaveringly backs their team, it’s hard to cut into that support. Will a second charge change anything? CONTINUED

Clifford Young, Sarah Feldman & Bernard Mendez, Ipsos


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack