Americans’ assessment of the state of the nation remains in the pandemic-era slump seen since 2021, marked by subdued satisfaction with 30 different aspects of the country. These include the public’s reaction to several aspects of U.S. society generally, as well as to numerous specific issues facing the country. These […] Read more »
Trump’s Republican opponents are making a painfully obvious mistake
It’s often said that military leaders “fight the last war”: They assume their current enemy is just like the previous one so they misjudge their foe and lose. The Republican establishment is making that exact mistake in the 2024 presidential primary. According to multiple recent reports, high-ranking Republicans don’t want […] Read more »
The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting
Key Points• Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common.• Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee […] Read more »
How Much Longer Can ‘Vote Blue No Matter Who!’ Last?
Over the past four decades, the percentage of white Democrats who identify themselves as liberal has more than doubled, growing at a much faster pace than Black or Hispanic Democrats. In 1984, according to American National Election Studies data, 29.8 percent of white Democrats identified as liberal; by 2020, that […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: State of the Union is dysfunction, dissatisfaction and disapproval
Days before President Biden’s State of the Union speech, a Fox News poll asked voters to assess if the country is coming together. The short answer is no, as 81% see the U.S. as a dysfunctional family that’s breaking apart, up from 71% two years ago. That sentiment hits 86% […] Read more »
Updated Evidence Of Our Increasingly Sclerotic National And State Politics
… At the state level, voters increasingly cast their ballots in similar partisan proportions for different candidates in different circumstances. This political sclerosis reduces the system’s responsiveness to realities. It used to be that great candidates fared much better than bad ones; a country doing well yielded very different results […] Read more »