A little more than a week after television networks called the 2020 presidential election for Joseph R. Biden Jr., top executives and anchors at Fox News held an after-action meeting to figure out how they had messed up. Not because they had gotten the key call wrong — but because […] Read more »
Why Trump is a clear favorite for the 2024 GOP nomination
… Trump is a clear, though not prohibitive, favorite to win next year’s Republican nomination for president. Right now, he’s averaging about 44% in the national primary polls. He’s 15 points ahead of DeSantis who is at 29%. A 15-point lead may not seem impressive at this early stage of […] Read more »
Republicans are trying to build a multiracial right – will it work?
GOP presidential candidate Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign event on Feb. 16, 2023, in Exeter, N.H. Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images Joseph Lowndes, University of Oregon and Daniel Martinez HoSang, Yale Divinity School Former Republican South Carolina Governor and United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley launched her bid for president recently […] Read more »
Fewer Americans Want U.S. Taking Major Role in World Affairs
Sixty-five percent of Americans prefer the U.S. to take the leading (20%) or a major role (45%) in world affairs. This is down from 69% in 2019 and 72% as recently as 2017. … Republicans and independents (both at 61%) are much less likely than Democrats (75%) to want the […] Read more »
Why Red v. Blue Became Me v. You: Polarization, Part II
A political identity–being a liberal or Democrat (a “D”) versus being a conservative or Republican (an “R”)–has become viscerally more important to more Americans, reaching partisan intensities not seen for at least a century and not seen elsewhere in the western world. R’s and D’s have increasingly and heatedly differed […] Read more »
Winning at the Rules Game
… In the gauzy, “West Wing” TV version of politics, campaigns are won with compelling speeches, dazzling debate performances and perfectly crafted campaign ads. In reality, campaigns are won on grit, endurance and attention to detail. And luck. To win the nomination for president, a campaign must be able to […] Read more »