Who likes Donald Trump? Lots of Republicans, but especially Hispanic voters, plus very rural and very conservative people

Former President Donald Trump greets supporters following a 2020 campaign rally in Arizona. Isaac Brekken/Getty Images Jonathan Schulman, Northwestern University and Matthew A Baum, Harvard Kennedy School Despite multiple state and federal indictments, recent polling indicates that former President Donald Trump retains a commanding lead in the race for the […] Read more »

Ohio’s Issue 1 Smackdown

Key Points• The pro-abortion rights/Democratic side won yet another fight related to abortion rights on Tuesday night, this time in red-trending Ohio.• Turnout was robust and likely advantaged the Democratic side. Voter participation was relatively poor across Appalachia, a once-competitive area that has become extremely Republican in recent years.• Issue […] Read more »

CNN Poll: Abortion’s role as an electoral litmus test hasn’t faded a year after Supreme Court decision overturning Roe

Americans’ discontent with the Supreme Court’s decision overturning Roe v. Wade remains as potent as it was a year ago, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, with a record-high share of the public saying that they’re likely to take a candidate’s position on abortion into consideration when […] Read more »

How Ohio’s ballot vote could preview the 2024 politics of abortion

The ballot initiative Ohio voters will decide Tuesday is likely to demonstrate again the continuing public resistance to last year’s Supreme Court decision ending the nationwide constitutional right to abortion – while also offering an early indication about how broadly that backlash may benefit Democrats in the 2024 election. … […] Read more »

Most disapprove of Biden’s handling of climate change, Post-UMD poll finds

Nearly one year after President Biden enacted a sprawling package to combat harmful emissions and boost clean energy, his administration is struggling to demonstrate the law’s value to weary voters — and stave off a widening array of new political threats. Most Americans — 57 percent — disapprove of Biden’s […] Read more »