Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. But one thing is already clear: the race will almost certainly be decided by a handful of voters in the very few states not entirely secure for either party.
The roster of swing states that both sides can genuinely hope to win may be as small next year as at any point in modern history – no more than seven or eight and perhaps as few as four. On such a concentrated battlefield, the margin between success and failure for the two parties may be achingly narrow and the competition for voters fiercely intense.
“Never have so few people had such a big impact in deciding the future of American politics,” said Doug Sosnik who served as the chief White House political adviser for Bill Clinton.
Multiple measures track the evolution of what could be called the incredible shrinking presidential battlefield. CONTINUED
Ronald Brownstein, CNN
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