Initial Senate Ratings: Democrats Have a Lot of Defending to Do

Key Points
• We are rolling out our first ratings of the 2024 Senate map.
• Democrats are playing much more defense than Republicans.
• Of the current Democratic seats, West Virginia starts as the clearest Republican takeover opportunity, with Arizona, Montana, and Ohio as Toss-ups.
• The 11 current Republican seats all start in the Safe Republican category, with the exceptions of Florida and Texas. The GOP has no Toss-up or Leans Republican seats to defend at the starting gate.
• Despite the Democrats’ level of exposure, we view the overall race for the Senate as a Toss-up to start. CONTINUED

Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball Senate ratings


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.