Key Points
• We are rolling out our first ratings of the 2024 Senate map.
• Democrats are playing much more defense than Republicans.
• Of the current Democratic seats, West Virginia starts as the clearest Republican takeover opportunity, with Arizona, Montana, and Ohio as Toss-ups.
• The 11 current Republican seats all start in the Safe Republican category, with the exceptions of Florida and Texas. The GOP has no Toss-up or Leans Republican seats to defend at the starting gate.
• Despite the Democrats’ level of exposure, we view the overall race for the Senate as a Toss-up to start. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crystal Ball Senate ratings
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