2024 Governors Races: A First Look

Key Points
• North Carolina’s open-seat race is clearly the marquee contest of 2024’s gubernatorial races. It starts as a Toss-up.
• The other contests start with clear favorites despite several open seats.
• If popular Republican incumbents run for another term, the GOP should be in great shape to hold New Hampshire and Vermont. But they would be great Democratic opportunities as open seats.
• Mississippi moves toCrystal Ball 2023/2024 gubernatorial ratings Likely Republican following the entry of a credible Democratic candidate after our initial 2023 rating release last week. CONTINUED

J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball 2023/2024 gubernatorial ratings


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