Since the 2020 election, there has been a significant re-evaluation of Latino voters’ partisan leanings and policy preferences. These voters — long assumed to be a permanent part of the Democratic coalition — supported Pres. Trump in larger numbers than expected. A “post-mortem” report, released this week by Equis Research, a Democratic-aligned Latino research organization, titled “The American Dream Voter,” found that while voting behavior among white, Black, and Asian voters remained relatively stable from 2016 to 2020 (neither shifted more than three points more Democratic or Republican) the Latino vote shifted a substantial 8 points; from 71 percent Democratic in 2016, to 63 percent Democratic in 2020. …
Using a number of research tools, including post-2020 election survey work in key states, the 2020 Nationscape dataset, Election Day eve polling, and 2019-2020 polling and focus groups, Equis makes a number of interesting assessments; undercutting some of the conventional wisdom and supporting others. CONTINUED
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
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