The Good News for the GOP Is Only Temporary

… The Republican Party has dug itself a hole with regard to young, educated voters. Although Americans under 30 are less likely to vote than their older counterparts, they are a rapidly growing proportion of the electorate. Gen Z Americans, a cohort that includes today’s college students, now make up almost a quarter of the nation’s population. They are in line to be the nation’s most formally educated generation, with higher high school graduation rates and lower dropout rates than earlier cohorts.

But the Republican Party has done more to alienate young, college-educated voters in recent years than ever before. …

That future is coming sooner than many analysts think. The Republican base of older, non-college, white voters will shrink rapidly in the coming years, leaving the party with a small and aging electorate. CONTINUED

Jeremi Suri (UT Austin) & Samuel J. Abrams (Sarah Lawrence), Politico Magazine


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