Key Points
• The vote count in California is finally done, and there were some noticeable trends in the results.
• While the recall election largely lined up with the 2018 gubernatorial result, some notable changes are evident when comparing last month’s vote to other recent statewide races.
• That the Democrats performed very well in that race even in the midst of Joe Biden’s still ongoing slide in popularity is an interesting data point, but it’s just a single one that may not be confirmed by looming statewide races in more competitive states, such as Virginia. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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