California: Newsom’s chances of surviving recall are greatly improved, Elder holds big lead in replacement election

The tide of likely voter preferences in this year’s gubernatorial recall election has turned. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll, completed earlier this week among a sample of nearly 10,000 registered voters across California, finds just 38.5% of those most likely to participate in the recall election now intending to vote Yes to recall Governor Gavin Newsom, while 60.1% say they will be voting No to support his retention. This compares to a much closer 47% Yes – 50% No division of likely voter preferences found by the poll just six weeks ago. …

The poll also finds that Republican broadcaster Larry Elder has opened up a large lead in the replacement election should the Governor be recalled. CONTINUED

Mark DiCamillo, Berkeley IGS Poll


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