2020 Pre-Election Polling: An Evaluation of the 2020 General Election Polls

… In October 2019, the Executive Council of AAPOR proactively convened a task force to examine the performance of pre-election polls in the 2020 elections. The Executive Council appointed 19 members to the Task Force on 2020 Pre-Election Polling from industry, nonprofit organizations, media, and academia to ensure a diversity of opinions, approaches, and expertise.

The Task Force collected all publicly available poll results at the national and state levels for the purpose of evaluating 2020 polling error and the extent that polls overstated the Democratic-Republican margin in the 2020 general election. The main findings of that review are as follows. CONTINUED

American Association for Public Opinion Research


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