Key Points
• In a highly unusual situation, both of Georgia’s Senate seats will be on the ballot next month — one seat was already scheduled to be elected, while the other is a special election.
• As January’s result will decide control of the Senate, both sides are invested in Georgia’s outcome.
• In the regular election, Democrat Jon Ossoff made some gains in the suburbs since he was last on the ballot, but to beat Sen. David Perdue (R-GA), he’ll likely have to do even better.
• The battle for the state’s other seat is a bitter contest between appointed incumbent Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) and Rev. Raphael Warnock, a Democrat and a preacher.
• Though it would add an extra layer of chaos to the outcome, history — and data from November — seems to point away from a split outcome. CONTINUED
J. Miles Coleman & Niles Francis, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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