Key Points
• Joe Biden is on track to exceed Barack Obama’s 2012 popular vote margin, but his victory in the key states is even narrower than Donald Trump’s in 2016.
• Less than 2% of the national vote went to candidates other than Biden and Trump, a significant change from 2016.
• Assuming nothing changes, as many as 94 of 100 senators in the next Congress will share the same party as the state’s presidential winner.
• The ability to generate crossover support helped Republicans perform surprisingly well in both Senate and House races. CONT.
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
2021 party control of senators by state
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