Why the Senate is so tough for Democrats

The expected twin Georgia runoff elections in January that will determine control of the Senate encapsulate the structural challenge facing Democrats as they battle to secure a majority in the chamber that could determine the shape of Joe Biden’s presidency.

As the results of Senate contests increasingly correlate with the outcomes of presidential races in the same states, Democrats face the stark reality that more states lean toward the GOP in the contest for the White House. …

The Democrats’ failure so far to oust any Republican senator in a state that supported Trump this year underscores the thin pathway the party faces toward winning Senate majorities in an era of widening partisan polarization and GOP dominance of smaller, preponderantly White states across the nation’s interior. Even though Democrats have now won the popular vote in an unprecedented seven of the last eight presidential elections, slightly more states have voted mostly for Republicans, rather than Democrats, in those contests. CONT.

Ronald Brownstein, CNN

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