Did ‘Shy Trump Voters’ throw off the polls? Maybe not.

The polls underestimated President Trump’s strength yet again during the 2020 election — and, yet again, “Shy Trump Voters” who feel social pressure to stay silent about their views are being cited as a potential cause of the miss. So the theory goes, these voters believe that even strangers would judge them as racist or cruel for their vote, so when the pollsters asked who they supported, they blurted out some answer other than “Trump.” Ergo, polling error.

But the details of the data show that there are problems with the “Shy Trump” theory. CONT.

David Byler, Washington Post

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.