… The disparity between state polling before the election and the election returns has once again raised questions about whether polls delivered an accurate preview of actual voting — and whether there’s a fundamental shortcoming with polling itself.
FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver said what his team does is provide “likely outcomes” to help people understand the state election results, but that does not translate into what it means for the actual election. …
“Here’s your reality check,” Silver said. “[Biden] basically is going to have the polls be off in the same direction by about as much as they were off in 2016, but because his lead was more robust than he’s going to probably … narrowly win probably a bunch of states that Clinton narrowly lost.” CONT.
Lauren Effron, ABC News