Key Points
• A presidential election forecasting model based on the president’s approval rating, first published at the Crystal Ball in early August, continues to show Joe Biden as a favorite in next week’s presidential election.
• An average of current state-level polling produces a very similar Electoral College projection.
• These forecasting methods produce projections very similar to a more complex model published by FiveThirtyEight. CONT.
Alan I. Abramowitz (Emory), Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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