What had shaped up to be a fairly mild, predictable Senate cycle has become one of the hairiest in memory.
To see why, let’s start with the stakes: The policy consequences of Republicans losing only a seat or two and holding onto a sliver of a majority is dramatically different than if their net losses are on the magnitude of five, six, seven, or eight, which is entirely possible given the dozen vulnerable GOP seats. With such losses, the red team would find themselves on the other end of a Democratic majority of between 52 and 55 seats. CONT.
Charlie Cook