Key Points
• The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg introduces an explosive new issue into the 2020 contests, although it may not fundamentally alter the race.
• Based on trends in public polling, and with a potential assist from Maine’s ranked-choice voting system, we’re moving that state’s critical Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
• The single electoral vote from the sprawling ME-2 is now a Toss-up.
• Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) is in greater danger of an upset, and his race moves from Likely Republican to Leans Republican. The court fight could save him, though. CONT.
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crystal Ball Senate ratings
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