… The fact that the conventional wisdom was wrong in 2016 has clearly had a big effect on people’s perceptions and not necessarily in a good way.
A plurality of Americans thought that the Republicans would hold onto the House in 2018, even as polling suggested otherwise. They were blown out.
Today, there seems to be a continued overcorrection of Trump’s chances in 2020. Not only do more Americans than not think Trump will win, but the betting markets have Biden only as a nominal favorite. CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN