… Continuity prevails when voters—or at least a critical mass of them—feel good about how the country is doing. Change wins out when a majority of voters are not happy. A chart put together by a Republican campaign consultant, who for obvious reasons would rather remain unnamed, measures this via an age-old poll question, usually worded something like: “Generally speaking, do you think that the country is headed in the right direction or is off on the wrong track?” …
So, where do we stand today? In the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research, “right direction” was a dismal 19 percent, compared to a “wrong track” of 72 percent, for a net minus 53 points. These are numbers screaming for change, and unlike four years ago when Donald Trump was running against a party that had held the White House for eight years, he is seeking a contract renewal and representing the status quo. CONT.
Charlie Cook
Recent polls: Direction of the country