Key Points
• Donald Trump’s rally in Tulsa over the weekend was a reminder of how much his campaign values well-attended rallies.
• Trump campaigned more times in more states than Hillary Clinton in 2016.
• However, a regression analysis of the 2016 results does not show rallies having a significant impact on that election’s results.
• Campaigns may derive indirect benefits from rallies, though, such as voter contacts, press coverage, and donations. But there’s not much evidence to show that the number of rallies in a given state had an impact on the results. CONT.
Alan I. Abramowitz (Emory), Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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