Are State Polls Any Better Than They Were in 2016?

To most, Joe Biden’s clear lead in recent state polls suggests that he has the early edge in the race for the presidency. To others, it’s not so meaningful. After all, Hillary Clinton also held a clear lead in the state polls, and yet Donald J. Trump won the election.

Four years later, it’s fair to wonder whether there is a serious risk of another systematic polling error. The answer is not cut and dried. CONT.

Nate Cohn, New York Times


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