Yes, Biden is more likely than Sanders to beat Trump. Here’s how we know.

Many Democratic politicians and voters rallied strongly behind Joe Biden both before and after Super Tuesday, aiming to halt what appeared to be Bernie Sanders’s momentum. Many did so because they feared Sanders is too ideologically extreme to beat Donald Trump in November. Were they right?

In short, probably so. We’ve researched a century of U.S. presidential elections, and found that a moderate Democrat is more likely to beat Donald Trump in November. CONT.

Harold Clarke (UT Dallas) & Paul Whiteley (U. of Essex), Monkey Cage

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