Key Points
• Ahead of several delegate-rich contests this month, both national and state-level polls suggest that Joe Biden is solidifying his lead over Bernie Sanders.
• Though a handful of states will be voting tomorrow, Michigan, given its significance in the 2016 primary, will be a focal point of the night — and is likely a must-win state for Sanders.
• But some of Sanders’ great showings outside of Detroit from 2016 seem unlikely to repeat themselves this time.
• In Montana’s Senate race, Democrats now have their best-possible recruit, in Gov. Steve Bullock. We still see Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) as a favorite but are moving this race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican. CONT.
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crystal Ball Senate ratings
