Iowa Road Trip: Do Reporters Know Anything?

What’s going to happen?

The Uber driver, learning my occupation, wants to know. So, too, newsroom colleagues who cover beats other than politics. So, too, family members, who not unreasonably imagine that I must have gained some insight by leaving them to travel here.

Two words I have learned to say, first with embarrassment, now with a measure of acceptance: Beats me. I can expand on that with a three-word answer: Totally beats me.

Evidence continues to mount exposing the fallacy that political journalism has high predictive value. CONT.

John Harris, Politico