… Iowa polls are split right now. … But when you average the highest quality pollsters together, you get this: Sanders 21%, Biden 19%, Buttigieg 17%, Warren 16% and Klobuchar 7%.
So just what is the chance Sanders wins the caucuses? About 1 in 3.
That may seem low, but it’s because Iowa polling hasn’t proven to be all that predictive at this point in the campaign for high polling candidates (i.e. those at 5% or above). CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN