… Hard as it may be to believe in the white heat of the moment, when D.C. is consumed with the story, history suggests the greatest likelihood is that it won’t have any discernable impact.
Political scientists Lynn Vavreck and John Sides identified 68 events labeled “game changers” in 2012, only to find that none of them had a meaningful effect.
In this case, voters’ natural tendency is to focus on domestic matters unless large numbers of Americans are actually dying. CONT.
Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill