… Buttigieg is clearly one of the — if not the only — frontrunners in the Iowa Democratic contest right now. Yet, some (like myself) have wondered aloud about whether Buttigieg will be able to translate his Iowa success into more diverse states like Nevada and South Carolina. That’s because Iowa is overwhelmingly white and Buttigieg has consistently polled poorly among nonwhites (specifically African Americans) nationally.
There’s no doubt that some portion of Buttigieg’s lower numbers with nonwhite voters has to do with lower name recognition, which isn’t a problem for him in Iowa. I am, however, skeptical that lack of name identification is the root cause of Buttigieg’s issue with nonwhite voters. Why? Buttigieg is polling far worse among the relatively few nonwhite likely caucusgoers in Iowa. CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN