The picture in Iowa just got muddier, not clearer

For all of the legitimate (and occasionally overblown) hand-wringing about “horse race” coverage of national politics, it is a lamentable fact that horse racing generally offers a good analogy for polling. …

On Tuesday afternoon, Monmouth University gave us a new snapshot of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination in Iowa. It shows a three-person race, with South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg joining Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) and former vice president Joe Biden at the top of the field. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) trails just behind. …

But the snapshot we were handed was something like a picture of a crowded field on the stretch turn, a number of horses, any of which have some shot at crossing the line first. Buttigieg joined the pack, but it remains to be seen whether he can keep running with them. CONT.

Philip Bump, Washington Post