The first Democratic primary debates are nearly here, but the early-state Democratic Party activists I’m interviewing for my book on the future of the party are still largely undecided. Three more activists have committed to supporting just one candidate, but what struck me in this latest round of surveys was that some of the candidates doing well among these activists aren’t necessarily the front-runners in the primary polls. CONT.
Seth Masket (U. of Denver), FiveThirtyEight