Pollsters spent a lot of time figuring out why Donald Trump’s win was such a surprise in 2016 — but the reality is that there isn’t going to be a radical change in most election polling for 2020.
Why it matters: Everyone should be more cautious in 2020 about what the polls can tell us and what they can’t. There will be some improvements in state polls, which is what really mattered in 2016. But polling experts warn that state surveys in general are still a weak spot, and other aspects of election polling are still a challenge. CONT.
David Nather, Axios