It’s way too early to know who is going to win the 2020 presidential race. We don’t know who the Democratic nominee will be, and we don’t know what President Donald Trump’s approval rating will be.
Still, we can look for patterns in the early polling to see what is driving voter preferences. Specifically, are the early patterns for this election looking like 2016 when Trump was able to win a substantial portion of voters who didn’t like him? Or is it more like 2018, when Trump’s approval rating was very predictive of vote choice for House races? CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN
Recent polls: Presidential match-ups