The Democratic Nomination: It Doesn’t Have to be a Long Slog

Key Points

• The size of the Democratic field, combined with the party’s proportional allocation of delegates and other factors, raises the possibility of a very long nomination process that may not be decided until the convention.

• However, the voting calendar is so frontloaded that a nominee may emerge relatively early in the process.

• Based on the tentative early primary and caucus calendar, nearly two-thirds of the pledged delegates will be awarded from early February to mid-March. CONT.

Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Tentative schedule of Democratic nominating contests, early February through mid-March 2020