If you were a moderate Democrat elected to Congress in 2018, you might worry about how the sweeping proposals from your more liberal colleagues will reflect on you. Are the voters in my swing district going to think I’m some kind of far leftist, too? Should I make efforts to signal my centrism so they don’t turn against me? Will that work?
The answer, according to some fascinating new data, appears to be no. …
Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz shared with me an analysis he did of the effects the district’s presidential vote had on House elections, whether there was an incumbent running and whether that incumbent is more or less ideologically extreme.
Here’s what his results suggested. CONT.
Paul Waldman, Washington Post