Enthusiastic Democrats can often be heard talking about how Texas is turning purple and maybe even blue. Professional strategists have mostly scoffed at this idea — after all, Donald Trump won Texas by more than 800,000 votes in 2016. But if President Trump decides to seek a second term — and he has said many times that he intends to — he can no longer count on winning Texas’s 38 Electoral College votes.
In some respects, Trump’s problems in Texas are similar to the difficulties he faces nationally: college educated white women moving decisively to the left and the continued erosion of Republican support in fast-growing metropolitan counties. CONT.
Thomas B. Edsall, New York Times