To hear President Trump tell it, his approval rating should be far higher than it is based on the economy alone. He has taken to referring to the economy as the best in history, slowly sliding that self-assigned praise into his regular rhetorical rotation. …
And to hear Trump tell it, one of the central metrics that should be considered when looking at the strength of the economy is the unemployment rate. …
It would be natural to expect a link between employment and presidential job approval. If you were to compare those numbers to one another, you might expect a line looking something like the one below: As the unemployment rate goes up, approval goes down. CONT.
Philip Bump, Washington Post