Parsing Ohio’s 12th: Neither Party Should Rush to Conclusions Just Yet

In 1982, as a young opposition researcher at the National Republican Congressional Committee, one of “my candidates” was an equally young John Kasich running in Ohio’s 12th District.

He was the only GOP challenger to win in that first off-year election of the Reagan presidency, and Republicans have held the seat ever since. With my background in the district, I had more than a passing interest in the outcome of Tuesday’s special election there.

Given the district’s electoral history, it’s hard to understand the dynamics behind the razor-thin margin between Republican Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O’Connor. Apparently, the political media is in the same boat. CONT.

David Winston (Winston Group), Roll Call