About that claim in the NYT that the immigration issue helped Hillary Clinton? The numbers don’t seem to add up.

Today I noticed an op-ed by two political scientists, Howard Lavine and Wendy Rahm, entitled, “What if Trump’s Nativism Actually Hurts Him?” …

Now I was curious, so I thought I’d check the numbers. CONT.

Andrew Gelman (Columbia U.), Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science