House Ratings Changes: Democrats Breathe a California-Sized Sigh of Relief

Democrats have to be happy and relieved by the results of Tuesday’s primaries: they appear to have avoided getting “locked out” of California’s top-two primaries, advancing candidates to the November ballot in all of the seven GOP seats they’re targeting (although in several districts, they didn’t avert catastrophe by much). And in New Jersey, Democrats’ top recruits comfortably won their primaries in two key GOP-held open seats. …

Tuesday’s results don’t change our overall outlook of a Democratic gain between 20 and 40 House seats (they need 23 for control). But we are changing our ratings in five districts: three in Democrats’ direction and two towards Republicans. CONT.

David Wasserman, Cook Political Report