Gallup released new polling this week with an eye-popping headline: Donald Trump’s re-election numbers are very similar to those of Barack Obama in 2010 and Bill Clinton in 1994.
Wait, WHAT? The narrative of Trump’s first 15 months in office has been that he is at historic polling lows. Then this.
What gives? In an attempt to suss that out, my friend — and resident CNN big brain — Harry Enten and I exchanged a bunch of emails trying to figure out the Gallup result and what, exactly, it tells us about Trump, Republicans’ chances in 2018 and Trump’s own fortune heading into his 2020 reelection race.
I’ve reproduced that email conversation below. CONT.
Chris Cillizza, CNN