Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not.

President Trump’s first year has been marked by an almost complete lack of major policy wins.1 But that could come to an end this week. Congress is on the verge of passing a massive tax bill into law. It would be the first major legislative victory for Trump and the Republicans. And it would accomplish a long-held GOP goal: cutting the corporate tax rate.

But policy wins and political wins don’t always go hand in hand. Republicans who believe that failing to pass this tax bill will be a disaster for them in the 2018 midterm elections, like Trump and Sen. Lindsey Graham, are likely to be disappointed. CONT.

Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight