We don’t know if the Republican health care bill will pass the Senate. It’s struggling right now, but remember that the House’s health care bill seemed dead too, before it was revived and approved. One question we have a better chance of answering is whether the elected officials directly involved in the health care vote should want it to pass.
That may seem like a simple question, but there are two dimensions that senators and other party officials need to keep an eye on when making their decision: How the bill’s passage or defeat will affect policy and how it is likely to affect politics. CONT.
Harry Enten & Perry Bacon Jr., FiveThirtyEight