… We took advantage of a survey called the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), which has an extraordinarily large sample of about 40,000-50,000 Americans. In 2016, the CCES was fielded just before the election and asked this question: “Do you support or oppose the Environmental Protection Agency regulating carbon dioxide emissions?”
We then estimated a statistical model, known as “multilevel regression and post-stratification,” that allows us to use this large national sample to estimate the opinions of individual states and even congressional districts.
Here’s what we found. CONT.
Lyle Scruggs & Clifford Vickrey, Monkey Cage