We ran three polls of Montana: May 12, 19, and 25 (12 PM MT to 7 PM MT). On the May 12 poll we had Republican Gianforte +12 and we had Gianforte holding that lead a week later on May 19. We were not planning on a running an additional poll until the Gainforte assaulted a reporter on Wednesday night, May 24. We ran a poll from 12 PM MT to 7 PM MT on Election Day and posted the results at 7:45 PM MT (15 minutes before the polls closed). The key findings:
High level of accuracy. We sent out Gianforte +5.5 and he won by +6. CONT.
PredictWise