LAST weekend I ate a cricket on national television. Based on my statistical analysis of presidential polls, I made a bet that if Donald J. Trump won more than 240 Electoral College votes, I would chow down. Like millions of voters in both parties, I was surprised by the outcome. As a consolation, I’d like to learn what went wrong — and to figure out how pollsters might do better when they puzzle over our polarized electorate. CONT.
Sam Wang (Princeton), New York Times