Putting the Polling Miss of the 2016 Election in Perspective

It was the biggest polling miss in a presidential election in decades.

Yet in many ways, it wasn’t wholly out of the ordinary.

Over all, the national polls missed the result by only a few points: Hillary Clinton is on track to win the popular vote by around 1.5 percentage points, not especially far from her roughly four-point lead in an average of national polls.

But the state polls were a different story. CONT.

Nate Cohn, Josh Katz & Kevin Quealy, New York Times

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